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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+5.54vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+4.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.35+7.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.34vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+0.50vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.34+1.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43-0.49vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.26-0.73vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.56+0.02vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.54-3.83vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.07+0.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.42-5.85vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.93+0.54vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.46-3.34vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-2.68vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.02-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54North Carolina State University1.577.6%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island1.807.6%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University0.352.6%1st Place
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5.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8012.6%1st Place
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5.5College of Charleston1.8111.9%1st Place
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7.14Tulane University1.347.1%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University1.438.6%1st Place
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7.27Old Dominion University1.267.8%1st Place
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9.02Boston University0.563.9%1st Place
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6.17Fordham University1.5410.7%1st Place
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11.02Yale University0.072.3%1st Place
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6.15Brown University1.4210.3%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
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10.66Northeastern University0.462.6%1st Place
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12.32Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.5%1st Place
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11.45SUNY Maritime College-0.021.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Andy Yu | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Flores | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% |
| Connor Macken | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 42.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 20.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.