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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+7.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.56+6.94vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.60vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+3.11vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43+0.72vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.73+1.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.86vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-2.20vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-2.84vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.36-5.15vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-3.86vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-4.18vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.39-4.44vs Predicted
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16Brown University4.30-8.88vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.21-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.94Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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12.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.14Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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10.56Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Olin Davis | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 21.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sam Williams | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Mac Mace | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Peter Johns | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Braden Solum | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.