← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota-0.55+5.37vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.43+1.94vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin0.80+0.21vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University-0.46+2.16vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.34+0.79vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-0.20-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Washington University-1.65+1.92vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University-0.50-1.84vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-0.30-3.23vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-1.16-2.09vs Predicted
-
11Hope College-1.12-3.31vs Predicted
-
12University of Saint Thomas-3.00-0.57vs Predicted
-
13Northern Michigan University-3.74-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.94University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
-
3.21University of Wisconsin0.800.3%1st Place
-
6.16Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.79Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.38Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
8.92Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
6.16Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
-
7.91Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
7.69Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
-
11.43University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
-
12.25Northern Michigan University-3.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus Munro | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 16.8% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 25.8% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hennig | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Shabino | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 26.8% | 14.7% | 2.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Ella Sligh | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Brady Boland | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 41.7% | 30.5% |
| Leo Barch | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 23.4% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.