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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.20+4.47vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.80+1.18vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.34+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.43-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.55+1.32vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.46+0.03vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.50-0.85vs Predicted
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8Washington University-1.65+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-3.00+2.32vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.30-4.32vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.16-3.25vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.12-4.03vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-3.74-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin0.800.2%1st Place
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5.87Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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3.97University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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6.32University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.03Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.15Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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8.99Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.75Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.97Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.29Northern Michigan University-3.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 24.3% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 16.9% | 19.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fergus Munro | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Kate Hennig | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 25.5% | 14.2% | 2.9% |
| Brady Boland | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 44.2% | 28.1% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Ella Sligh | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Leo Barch | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 21.3% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.