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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+7.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+4.07vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.10vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.25+4.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23-0.48vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81-0.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43+0.40vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.77-1.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.87-4.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27+1.13vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-0.89vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.52+0.83vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.49vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.45-3.69vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.29vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.29-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.1Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.99Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.05Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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13.13University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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12.11Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.83Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.31Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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14.71Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.79Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 7.0% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 32.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Duncan Craine | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 19.6% | 29.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.