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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+5.93vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+4.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+2.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.76vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+1.73vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.27+3.91vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-0.51vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.43-2.35vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.13vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-0.53vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.45-2.03vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-2.70vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.77-8.74vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.24vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.26Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.91University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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9.49Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.97Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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12.3Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.26Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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14.76Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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14.97Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 9.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 7.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 30.3% |
| James Jagielski | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.