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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+8.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.65vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.25+6.32vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+2.84vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.77+2.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-1.49vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38+0.50vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.87-2.32vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-2.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44+1.28vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.75-4.52vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-0.76vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.79vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.23-2.06vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.89vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.37vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.27-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.32Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.28Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.24Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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12.94Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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15.11Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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14.63Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Robby Meek | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Hurd | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 35.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 28.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.