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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+8.19vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.87+4.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+5.57vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+8.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+6.20vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-1.53vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.77-1.00vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.75-1.88vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-1.19vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.25-1.74vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.81-4.72vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.48vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.23-1.36vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.82-8.17vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-1.32vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.89vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.27-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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12.2Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.0Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.12Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.26Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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12.64Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.68Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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15.11Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Robby Meek | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Hurd | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
| William Michels | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 28.0% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 35.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.