← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.77+6.26vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.38+6.82vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.29+6.22vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.25+4.94vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.43+2.43vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.57vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.82-1.19vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.81-2.13vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.87-3.08vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.37+1.59vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.34vs Predicted
-
13Yale University2.75-5.98vs Predicted
-
14Olin College of Engineering0.52+0.81vs Predicted
-
15Fairfield University0.69-0.39vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.23-2.97vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.27-4.03vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.44-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.26Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.82Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.22Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.94Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
5.45University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.43Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.81Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.87Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.92Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
12.59Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.02Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
14.81Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
-
14.61Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
13.03Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
-
12.97University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
12.02Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.8% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 9.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| James Jagielski | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 31.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 26.9% |
| William Hurd | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 11.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.