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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.56+8.16vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.54+4.32vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.57+3.47vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.43+2.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.49vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.34+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80-0.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.42-1.84vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.46+1.68vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.26-3.01vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.35-0.56vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.81-6.51vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.93+0.62vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.07-2.96vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-3.60vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Boston University0.563.1%1st Place
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6.32Fordham University1.548.2%1st Place
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6.47North Carolina State University1.578.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University1.438.6%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8011.4%1st Place
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7.04Tulane University1.347.3%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island1.809.3%1st Place
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6.16Brown University1.4210.8%1st Place
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10.68Northeastern University0.462.2%1st Place
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6.99Old Dominion University1.268.8%1st Place
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10.44Roger Williams University0.352.4%1st Place
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5.49College of Charleston1.8113.0%1st Place
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13.62Salve Regina University-0.930.4%1st Place
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11.04Yale University0.072.4%1st Place
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11.4SUNY Maritime College-0.022.4%1st Place
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12.22Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Macken | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 41.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 9.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.0% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.