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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+5.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+5.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+4.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+2.70vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+3.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-1.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.51vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.25-0.06vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.87-3.13vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.56vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27+0.99vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-1.06vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.90-3.90vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.23-2.18vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-3.54vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.99vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.19Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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11.94Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.1Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.82Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.46Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.01Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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14.37Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.9% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Robby Meek | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 10.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| William Hurd | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
| James Jagielski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 34.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.