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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.54vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+4.00vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.23+8.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.35vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+2.33vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82-0.24vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.90+2.27vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-1.55vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-0.83vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.87-4.21vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27+0.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.60vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.38-5.79vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-2.95vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-1.43vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.98vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.27Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.05Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.57Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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15.02Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.1% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Mason Stang | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Robby Meek | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 10.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 27.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 34.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.