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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.87+4.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+4.66vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+2.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37+7.18vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.27+6.67vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.44+5.04vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.25+0.92vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69+5.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-4.40vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.82-4.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-4.10vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.43-4.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.95vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.38-6.53vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.90-5.55vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.23-4.04vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.66Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.18Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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12.04Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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14.51Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.45Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.96Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.86Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 25.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| James Jagielski | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.