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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.25+7.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+2.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+2.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+1.74vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+2.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.90+3.39vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75-1.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-1.59vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-2.93vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.38-2.48vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.37vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.23-0.32vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-2.17vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.27-2.36vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-1.43vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-4.47vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.51Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.39Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.95Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.07Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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12.68Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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11.83Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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14.57Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.53Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.87Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| William Hurd | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 26.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.