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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+2.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+7.81vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+2.70vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.93+3.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05-1.39vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.09+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.91+0.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-0.05vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.44-3.10vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00-2.22vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.59-2.06vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.37-6.23vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.22-2.68vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-4.89vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.82-3.17vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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7.9Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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11.11Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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13.83Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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17.1Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Busch | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Harrison Strom | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 3.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 28.5% | 8.8% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.