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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+2.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+2.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.93+5.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.72+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.91+2.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.54vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.44-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.22+2.61vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-1.06vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.37-3.63vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.09-4.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-3.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.60-3.97vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.82-2.20vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.00-7.37vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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11.03Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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13.8Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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17.11Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Peter Busch | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 4.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Harrison Strom | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 28.5% | 8.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 8.0% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.