← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+4.14vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.05+3.85vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.37+5.46vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.38+4.03vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.44+2.88vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.72+0.95vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.09+2.29vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+0.13vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.93+0.92vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.12-4.34vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.22+1.67vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.59-0.43vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-3.22vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University0.82-0.44vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.60-3.87vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.91-5.93vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.00-7.22vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.14Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
5.85Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.46Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
-
8.03Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.88Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
6.95Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.29Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
-
8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.92Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
-
5.66Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
12.67University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
11.57Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
13.56Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.13Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.07University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
-
9.78Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
-
17.14Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 4.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 2.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 26.0% | 8.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Henry Lee | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.