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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+2.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+5.80vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+1.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+2.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.93+2.89vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44-0.08vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.37-0.82vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-1.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.91-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.22+0.85vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.09-3.80vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.00-4.67vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.59-3.79vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.82-2.07vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-1.07+0.26vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.60-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.04Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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13.93Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
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17.26Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.5% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.4% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Busch | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 4.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 29.6% | 8.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 8.4% | 80.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.