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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+5.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+5.90vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+2.65vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.64+4.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.56+4.15vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.73+1.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78+0.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-1.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.73vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-4.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.18vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.30-6.78vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.21-0.69vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.99-7.67vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.39-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.55Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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10.15Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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9.28Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.87Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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12.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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7.22Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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14.31University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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10.73Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 10.0% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mac Mace | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Olin Davis | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 20.1% | 20.5% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Braden Solum | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 45.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Peter Johns | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.