← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+4.78vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+8.04vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.12+2.48vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.29+0.83vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.72+1.72vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.93+3.77vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.22+5.40vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.38-0.08vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.60+2.04vs Predicted
-
101.91+0.04vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.00-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.37-3.59vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.44-5.38vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.09-5.14vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-4.51vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.59-4.87vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University0.82-3.18vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.78Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
5.48Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
4.83Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
-
6.72Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.77Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
7.92Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
11.04Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.041.910.1%1st Place
-
9.56Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
-
8.41Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
-
7.62Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
8.86Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.13Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
13.82Fairfield University0.820.0%1st Place
-
17.1Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 3.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Henry Lee | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 29.6% | 8.3% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.