← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.12+4.40vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+8.55vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.29+1.79vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.55+3.10vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.72+1.50vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.44+1.60vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.93+2.55vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.59+2.73vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.37-1.19vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.91-0.17vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.22+1.21vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.69-1.17vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.38-5.31vs Predicted
-
14Olin College of Engineering-1.07+3.01vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University2.00-5.79vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University-0.12-0.29vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.09-7.91vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
4.79Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
7.1Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.5Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.6Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
9.55Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.73Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
7.81Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
-
9.83University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
-
12.21University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
10.83Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.69Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
17.01Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.21Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
-
15.71Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
-
9.09Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
-
9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 2.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 17.5% | 66.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 40.1% | 26.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.