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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+2.04vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+0.17vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.10-0.47vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.65-0.88vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.53+0.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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2.17Dartmouth College2.430.4%1st Place
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2.53Boston College2.100.3%1st Place
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3.12Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Keeves | 16.8% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 27.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% |
| bella casaretto | 36.9% | 29.0% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Nick Budington | 26.8% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 15.9% | 16.9% | 25.7% | 25.5% | 13.1% | 2.9% |
| Christina Chen | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 20.4% | 67.3% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 45.0% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.