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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+1.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.10+0.53vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.65+0.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+0.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74-1.90vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.53-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Dartmouth College2.430.3%1st Place
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2.53Boston College2.100.3%1st Place
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3.08Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 34.9% | 29.8% | 19.1% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Nick Budington | 28.9% | 23.7% | 22.6% | 16.3% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 15.5% | 18.6% | 24.8% | 26.3% | 12.6% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 16.1% | 42.1% | 25.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 15.8% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 24.0% | 13.6% | 3.6% |
| Christina Chen | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 20.5% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.