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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+2.03vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+1.05vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.10-0.47vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+0.66vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43-2.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.53-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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3.05Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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2.53Boston College2.100.3%1st Place
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4.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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2.29Dartmouth College2.430.3%1st Place
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5.44Harvard University-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Keeves | 16.2% | 20.7% | 23.8% | 25.2% | 11.2% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 17.7% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 24.1% | 14.2% | 2.4% |
| Nick Budington | 26.5% | 24.9% | 24.7% | 17.7% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 42.8% | 26.0% |
| bella casaretto | 34.8% | 27.6% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Christina Chen | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 21.4% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.