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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+4.42vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.56+7.07vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80+2.86vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+1.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+0.61vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02+4.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.35+2.66vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.26-1.84vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.54-3.50vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-5.64vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.57-5.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.46-2.40vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.93-0.47vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.07-4.05vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8012.4%1st Place
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9.07Boston University0.564.2%1st Place
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7.1Tulane University1.346.8%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island1.808.9%1st Place
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6.15Brown University1.4210.4%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University1.438.5%1st Place
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11.59SUNY Maritime College-0.022.1%1st Place
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10.66Roger Williams University0.352.9%1st Place
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7.16Old Dominion University1.266.8%1st Place
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6.5Fordham University1.548.3%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston1.8112.2%1st Place
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6.27North Carolina State University1.579.6%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University0.462.6%1st Place
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13.53Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
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10.95Yale University0.072.1%1st Place
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12.18Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Macken | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 40.9% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.