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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.73+8.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.96vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.56+6.93vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+5.72vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.17vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.36+0.98vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+3.68vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99+0.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78+0.34vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.66vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-6.34vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.43-6.35vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.21+0.48vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.06-7.00vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-6.88vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.08-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.02University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.68Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.34Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.66Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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14.48University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.12Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Davis | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Mac Mace | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Johns | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 21.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Braden Solum | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 15.9% | 46.8% |
| Sam Williams | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| William Haeger | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.