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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+1.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.10+0.54vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.65+0.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.74-1.00vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.53+0.43vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Dartmouth College2.430.3%1st Place
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2.54Boston College2.100.3%1st Place
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3.11Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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3.0Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 34.7% | 30.2% | 19.8% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Nick Budington | 27.8% | 24.6% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 7.3% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 15.7% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 28.6% | 12.3% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Keeves | 17.5% | 19.1% | 24.5% | 25.2% | 11.7% | 2.0% |
| Christina Chen | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 19.7% | 68.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 45.3% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.