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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+1.21vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+1.10vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.10-0.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.74-1.00vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.53+0.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Dartmouth College2.430.4%1st Place
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3.1Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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2.56Boston College2.100.3%1st Place
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3.0Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 35.1% | 29.4% | 19.9% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 16.8% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 26.8% | 13.9% | 3.1% |
| Nick Budington | 26.4% | 24.6% | 24.4% | 17.1% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Keeves | 17.4% | 18.8% | 25.0% | 25.8% | 11.1% | 1.9% |
| Christina Chen | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 19.4% | 67.7% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 45.0% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.