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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.65vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.12vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54-0.17vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-0.38vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.68vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-0.02-1.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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2.83Fordham University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.83Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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4.62Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.68SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.46Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.41Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 28.4% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 24.0% | 24.6% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 20.9% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Boris Bialer | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 25.1% | 21.4% | 16.4% |
| William Roberts | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 26.8% | 34.7% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 12.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 24.8% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.