← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.08vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.80vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.03+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.35-1.35vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.54-1.18vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+1.37vs Predicted
-
7Hamilton College-0.02-0.58vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.73-0.58vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
-
2.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
-
4.73Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
-
2.65Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
-
3.82Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
-
7.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
-
6.42Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
-
7.42Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
-
6.71SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 21.6% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 23.8% | 25.5% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 27.7% | 24.5% | 20.5% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 12.5% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 25.9% | 32.9% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 19.7% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 11.6% |
| William Roberts | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 25.3% | 35.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 16.7% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.