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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.24vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35-0.28vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.63vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-0.37vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.54-2.10vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.73+0.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-0.61vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-0.02-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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3.24University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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2.72Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
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6.63SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.63Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.9Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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7.48Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.36Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 28.4% | 24.3% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 18.3% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 27.2% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 23.1% | 15.6% |
| Boris Bialer | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 11.7% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| William Roberts | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 26.1% | 35.8% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 24.0% | 35.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 20.9% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.