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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+0.86vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.03+1.72vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.42vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.54-1.17vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.72vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.02-0.61vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.73-0.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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2.86Fordham University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.72Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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2.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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3.83Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.72SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.39Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.4Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 21.7% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 23.0% | 23.9% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 23.3% | 20.0% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 29.3% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 12.4% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 24.4% | 21.7% | 17.5% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 20.9% | 11.0% |
| William Roberts | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 25.4% | 34.9% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 24.9% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.