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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.25vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.54+0.91vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.35-1.37vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.63vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.03-1.31vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.02-0.55vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.73-0.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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3.25University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.91Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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2.63Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
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6.63SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.69Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.45Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.39Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 28.0% | 25.0% | 20.5% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 17.0% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 12.3% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 28.5% | 24.5% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 21.2% | 17.5% |
| Boris Bialer | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 24.2% | 21.0% | 11.6% |
| William Roberts | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 26.7% | 33.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 25.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.