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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+1.69vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.03+2.88vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.95vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.54-1.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+1.39vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.27vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-0.02-1.65vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.73-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.88Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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2.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.82Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.73SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.35Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.44Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 25.9% | 25.2% | 21.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.1% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 22.8% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 28.3% | 24.7% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 20.8% | 19.4% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 12.2% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 25.6% | 33.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 22.6% | 25.1% | 15.6% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 21.1% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 12.7% |
| William Roberts | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 24.2% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.