← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.66vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.54+2.04vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.35-0.27vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.03+0.60vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.95vs Predicted
-
6Hamilton College-0.02+0.36vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+0.47vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.31vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.73-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
-
4.04Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
-
2.73Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
-
4.6Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
-
3.05University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
-
6.36Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
-
7.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
-
6.69SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.4Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 27.3% | 25.1% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 27.1% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 21.8% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 24.0% | 19.6% | 11.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 25.9% | 35.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 23.0% | 16.8% |
| William Roberts | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 24.4% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.