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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+1.69vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.03+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.13vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54-0.22vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.41vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.68vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.73+0.45vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-0.02-1.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.9Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.78Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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2.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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6.68SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.45Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.38Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 25.8% | 26.0% | 20.5% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 18.7% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 12.9% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 30.0% | 25.3% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 24.7% | 21.7% | 16.6% |
| William Roberts | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 27.4% | 34.4% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 12.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 24.5% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.