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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.77vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35-0.30vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54-0.18vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-0.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+1.38vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.25vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-0.02-1.60vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.73-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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2.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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2.7Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.82Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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4.64Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.75SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.4Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.44Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 20.4% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 24.2% | 25.4% | 21.1% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 28.6% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 25.1% | 33.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 23.3% | 25.5% | 15.7% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 20.3% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 12.6% |
| William Roberts | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.