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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+2.91vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.23+4.90vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.12vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.45vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.73+2.32vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.02+0.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-4.30vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.03-3.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.9SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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3.12University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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2.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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7.32Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.37Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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2.7Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.73Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 24.4% | 19.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 20.1% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 28.6% | 26.6% | 21.2% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 33.6% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 18.9% | 10.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 25.7% | 25.6% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 18.8% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 26.0% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.