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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.67vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.54+2.05vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.23+3.74vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.99vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-0.37vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.35-3.33vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-0.58vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-0.02-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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4.05Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.74SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.63Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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2.67Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
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7.46Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.38Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 28.3% | 24.4% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.9% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 26.0% | 21.9% | 17.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 21.5% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 27.1% | 24.3% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 35.5% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 25.9% | 34.8% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 20.1% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.