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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.27vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.54+0.96vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.62vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-0.38vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.44vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.73+0.48vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-0.02-1.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.27University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.96Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.62SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.62Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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2.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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7.48Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.39Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 26.1% | 24.3% | 21.1% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 18.1% | 19.4% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 23.9% | 21.3% | 15.3% |
| Boris Bialer | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 29.7% | 25.5% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 26.4% | 35.3% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 12.9% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 25.6% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.