← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University2.35+1.68vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.03+2.85vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute1.54+0.92vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.96vs Predicted
-
6Hamilton College-0.02+0.39vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.28vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.73-0.59vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.68Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
-
4.85Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
-
3.92Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
-
2.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
-
3.04University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
-
6.39Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
-
6.72SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.41Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
-
7.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 27.2% | 23.3% | 21.9% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.2% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 19.7% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 11.3% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 21.5% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 28.1% | 26.1% | 21.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 21.8% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 24.2% | 18.9% | 12.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 17.9% | 22.6% | 24.2% | 15.8% |
| William Roberts | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 24.6% | 35.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 25.0% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.