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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.66vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.11vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54-0.16vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-0.38vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.73-0.57vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-0.02-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.3%1st Place
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2.84Fordham University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.11University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.84Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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4.62Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.67SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.43Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.38Hamilton College-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 28.2% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 23.9% | 24.5% | 20.3% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 21.0% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Boris Bialer | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 23.0% | 24.7% | 14.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 25.5% | 35.5% |
| William Roberts | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 23.2% | 36.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 21.5% | 22.1% | 20.1% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.