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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+5.46vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+1.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.80vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+4.53vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+3.16vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.45vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+1.95vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.05+1.33vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-4.20vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-1.58vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.50vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.97-2.64vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.03-0.83vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.47vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-3.94vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.71-4.25vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.43-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Boston College2.098.7%1st Place
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3.01Stanford University3.3029.4%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.9%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida1.604.5%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.105.2%1st Place
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6.45University of Pennsylvania1.778.2%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University2.104.2%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College1.514.2%1st Place
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10.33University of Hawaii1.052.8%1st Place
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5.8Cornell University2.3810.0%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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11.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.5%1st Place
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10.36Old Dominion University0.972.9%1st Place
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13.17North Carolina State University-0.031.7%1st Place
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11.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.911.9%1st Place
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12.06University of Wisconsin0.701.7%1st Place
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12.75Fordham University0.711.2%1st Place
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16.56University of Texas-1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 29.4% | 22.2% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Green | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Annika Milstien | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 10.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 7.6% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.