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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+5.52vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.34+5.02vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.26+4.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80+2.87vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+0.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.58vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.57-0.39vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.56+1.13vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.42-2.91vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.07+1.13vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.35-0.38vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.54-5.72vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.93+0.52vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-2.05vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-3.32vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.46-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Tufts University1.437.8%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University1.347.3%1st Place
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7.29Old Dominion University1.266.8%1st Place
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6.87University of Rhode Island1.809.0%1st Place
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5.44College of Charleston1.8111.8%1st Place
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5.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8012.6%1st Place
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6.61North Carolina State University1.578.9%1st Place
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9.13Boston University0.564.5%1st Place
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6.09Brown University1.4210.4%1st Place
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11.13Yale University0.072.4%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University0.352.6%1st Place
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6.28Fordham University1.548.4%1st Place
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13.52Salve Regina University-0.931.0%1st Place
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11.95Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.8%1st Place
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11.68SUNY Maritime College-0.021.7%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University0.462.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Connor Macken | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 41.4% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.