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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+4.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.82+3.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.29+7.16vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.23+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.54+4.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+1.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.47vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.73-4.93vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.58+0.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.64-0.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-3.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.64-2.98vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.77+0.19vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.20-2.40vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.80-6.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.82-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island0.290.0%1st Place
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4.26Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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3.07Brown University2.730.3%1st Place
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9.17Brown University0.580.0%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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9.02Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.19Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.6Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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13.41Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Tristan McDonald | 14.4% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Meara Conley | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| James Brock | 29.6% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Jancy Grayson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| David Vinogradov | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Emilia Perriera | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 32.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 12.5% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.