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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+2.04vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.80+3.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.58+6.21vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.64+5.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+2.65vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.29+4.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.49vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.64+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.54+0.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.82-4.67vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.23-6.83vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.80-3.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-5.76vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-0.84vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.20-3.16vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.82-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Brown University2.730.3%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University0.580.0%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Rhode Island0.290.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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8.95Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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5.33Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.17Roger Williams University2.230.2%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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13.16Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.43Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 28.2% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Jancy Grayson | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| John Mason | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Meara Conley | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Keller Morrison | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Edward Herman | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 18.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Perriera | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 30.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.