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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.35+9.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.30vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+4.05vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80+2.68vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+0.31vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.57+0.26vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.25+3.46vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.54-1.95vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.42-2.89vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.30vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.26-4.08vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.46-1.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.43-6.51vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.93-0.66vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.07-4.10vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17Roger Williams University0.353.5%1st Place
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5.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8012.3%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University1.346.4%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island1.808.0%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston1.8111.3%1st Place
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6.26North Carolina State University1.5710.2%1st Place
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10.46Boston University0.253.1%1st Place
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6.05Fordham University1.549.8%1st Place
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6.11Brown University1.4210.0%1st Place
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11.3SUNY Maritime College-0.021.7%1st Place
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6.92Old Dominion University1.268.2%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University0.462.4%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.439.2%1st Place
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13.34Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
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10.9Yale University0.071.7%1st Place
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13.29Maine Maritime Academy-0.821.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yasar Akin | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Andy Yu | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 8.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Jack Flores | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 34.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 7.7% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.