← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.37+0.87vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.26+1.11vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.83vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University0.81-0.26vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy0.16-0.35vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.79-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87Georgetown University2.370.5%1st Place
-
3.11George Washington University1.260.2%1st Place
-
3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
3.74Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
-
4.65U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
-
3.8Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 49.8% | 26.6% | 14.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 15.7% | 23.5% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 7.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 22.7% | 16.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 10.1% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 15.0% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 4.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 43.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.3% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 22.0% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.