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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.89vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+1.73vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37-1.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.16+0.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81-1.14vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.73Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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1.8Georgetown University2.370.5%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Naval Academy0.160.1%1st Place
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3.86Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.14George Washington University1.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 22.6% | 18.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.0% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 21.6% | 16.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 51.4% | 26.5% | 15.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 39.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.8% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 15.3% | 22.0% | 22.1% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.