← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University0.81+2.73vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.37-0.15vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.26+0.09vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University0.79-0.24vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.08vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy0.16-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.73Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
-
1.85Georgetown University2.370.5%1st Place
-
3.09George Washington University1.260.2%1st Place
-
3.76Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
4.64U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 10.4% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 20.9% | 16.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 50.9% | 26.0% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 16.8% | 22.4% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 13.1% | 5.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 9.1% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 22.8% | 15.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.7% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 21.7% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 4.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.