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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.85vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37-0.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+0.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.16+0.59vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79-1.11vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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1.87Georgetown University2.370.5%1st Place
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3.69Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Naval Academy0.160.1%1st Place
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3.89Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.12George Washington University1.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 9.6% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 19.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 49.5% | 26.6% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 10.9% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 22.8% | 13.5% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 40.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.6% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 16.1% | 23.5% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.