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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.63vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.23+2.24vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+0.50vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-2.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.16-0.57vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.81-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.24George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.5Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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1.69Georgetown University2.370.6%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy0.160.1%1st Place
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3.51Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 9.1% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 21.4% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| Hayden Clary | 5.7% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 29.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 12.8% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 10.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 55.0% | 28.0% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 6.3% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 34.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 11.1% | 17.3% | 21.3% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.